Michael DeBlasio anamaliza ntchito yomanga Kahuna Burger ya Nthambi Yaitali patatha miyezi inayi kuposa momwe anakonzera poyamba. Pamene adayang'ana zomwe zidzachitike kugwa, adakonzekera kuchedwetsanso kwa makasitomala ake.
Mtengo wa mazenera ukukwera.Mitengo ya mawindo agalasi ndi mafelemu a aluminiyamu ikukwera.Mathailo a denga, denga ndi mitengo ya m’mbali inakwera pa bolodi.Tiyerekeze kuti angapeze chinthucho choyamba.
"Ndikuganiza kuti ntchito yanga tsiku lililonse ndikupeza zomwe ndikufuna kugula ndisanaike mtengo," adatero DeBlasio, woyang'anira polojekiti ya Structural Concepts Inc. ya Ocean Town ndi DeBo Construction ku Belmar. "Ndinakhala wotulukira osati wogula. . Izi ndi zopenga.”
Makampani omanga ndi ogulitsa m'madera a m'mphepete mwa nyanja akukumana ndi kusowa kwa zipangizo, zomwe zimawakakamiza kulipira mitengo yapamwamba, kupeza ogulitsa atsopano ndikupempha makasitomala kuti adikire moleza mtima.
Mpikisanowu wadzetsa mutu kwa makampani omwe akuyenera kukhala otukuka.Mabizinesi ndi ogula nyumba akhala akugwiritsa ntchito chiwongola dzanja chochepa kuti alimbikitse chuma.
Koma kufunikira kukuvutitsa mayendedwe othandizira, omwe akuyesera kuyambiranso atatsala pang'ono kutsekedwa koyambirira kwa mliri.
"Izi ndi zoposa chinthu chimodzi," atero a Rudi Leuschner, pulofesa wa kasamalidwe kazinthu zogulitsira ku Newark Rutgers School of Business.
Anati: "Mukaganizira za chinthu chilichonse chomwe chidzalowa m'sitolo kapena kontrakitala, chinthucho chidzasintha kambirimbiri chisanafike." "Panthawi yonseyi, pakhoza kukhala kuchedwa, kapena Kungokakamira kwinakwake. Kenako zinthu zazing'ono zonsezi zimangowonjezera kuchedwa, kusokoneza kwakukulu, ndi zina zotero. ”
Sebastian Vaccaro wakhala ndi sitolo ya Asbury Park kwa zaka 38 ndipo ali ndi zinthu pafupifupi 60,000.
Ananena kuti mliriwu usanachitike, ogulitsa ake amatha kukumana ndi 98% ya malamulo ake.Tsopano, ndi pafupifupi 60%.Anawonjezera ogulitsa ena awiri, kuyesera kuti apeze mankhwala omwe amafunikira.
Nthawi zina, amakhala wopanda mwayi; Swiffer wet jet yatha kwa miyezi inayi.Nthawi zina, ayenera kulipira ndalama zambiri ndikupereka mtengo kwa kasitomala.
"Kuyambira kumayambiriro kwa chaka chino, chiwerengero cha mapaipi a PVC chawonjezeka kuwirikiza kawiri," adatero Vaccaro. M'malo mwake, nthawi zina, tikamayitanitsa mapaipi a PVC, timakhala ochepa pakugula. Ndikudziwa wogulitsa ndipo mutha kugula 10 nthawi imodzi, ndipo nthawi zambiri ndimapanga Gulani zidutswa 50. ”
Kusokonekera kwa zida zomangira ndiko kudabwitsa kwaposachedwa kwambiri kwa zomwe akatswiri operekera zakudya amazitcha kuti bullwhip effect, yomwe imachitika pamene kuperekedwa ndi kufunikira sikukuyenda bwino, zomwe zimayambitsa kugwedezeka kumapeto kwa mzere wopanga.
Zinawoneka pamene mliri udayamba mchaka cha 2020 ndikupangitsa kuchepa kwa mapepala akuchimbudzi, mankhwala ophera tizilombo komanso zida zodzitetezera.
Malinga ndi deta yochokera ku Federal Reserve Bank ya Minneapolis, ndondomeko yamtengo wapatali ya ogula, yomwe imayesa mtengo wa zinthu za 80,000 pamwezi, ikuyembekezeka kukwera ndi 4.8% chaka chino, chomwe ndi chiwonjezeko chachikulu kwambiri kuyambira pamene inflation inakwera ndi 5.4% 1990.
Zinthu zina ndizokwera mtengo kuposa zina.Mapaipi a PVC adakwera 78% kuchokera mu Ogasiti 2020 mpaka Ogasiti 2021; ma TV adakwera ndi 13.3%; malinga ndi deta yochokera ku US Bureau of Labor Statistics, mipando yazipinda zochezera, khitchini ndi zipinda zodyeramo inakwera ndi 12%.
"Pafupifupi mafakitale athu onse ali ndi vuto," atero a John Fitzgerald, Purezidenti ndi CEO wa Magyar Bank ku New Brunswick.
Omanga ali m'nthawi yovuta kwambiri. Anawona ntchito zina asanabwerere, monga kukwera kwa matabwa, ntchito zina zikupitiriza kukwera.
Sanchoy Das, mlembi wa "Kukwaniritsidwa Mwamsanga: Kusintha Makina Ogulitsa Zogulitsa," adanenanso kuti zinthuzo zimakhala zovuta kwambiri komanso kutalika kwa mayendedwe, m'pamenenso njira zogulitsira zimatha kulowa m'mavuto.
Mwachitsanzo, mitengo ya zinthu zofunika kwambiri monga matabwa, zitsulo ndi konkire, zomwe makamaka amapangidwa ku United States, yatsika chifukwa cha kukwera kwambiri kumayambiriro kwa chaka chino. zopangira zochokera kunja, kuchititsa kuchedwa.
Das adanenanso kuti panthawi imodzimodziyo, zinthu zopangira msonkhano monga zipangizo zamagetsi zotumizidwa kuchokera ku Asia kapena Mexico zikukumana ndi zovuta, ndipo ogwira ntchito akugwira ntchito mwakhama kuti aziwonjezera kuti akwaniritse zosowa za makasitomala.
Ndipo onse amakhudzidwa ndi kuchepa kwanthawi yayitali kwa madalaivala amagalimoto kapena nyengo yomwe ikukulirakulira, monga kutsekedwa kwamafuta aku Texas mu February chaka chatha.
Pulofesa wa Newark New Jersey Institute of Technology, Das adati: "Mliriwu utayamba, zambiri mwazinthuzi zidatsekedwa ndipo zidakhala zotsika kwambiri, ndipo amabwerera mosamala." "Njira yotumizira inali pafupifupi ziro kwakanthawi, ndipo tsopano afika mwadzidzidzi Panthawi ya boom. Chiwerengero cha zombo ndi chokhazikika. Simungapange zombo usiku wonse.”
Omanga akuyesa kusintha.Mkulu wa Accounting Officer Brad O'Connor adanena kuti Old Bridge-based Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. yachepetsa chiwerengero cha nyumba zomwe zimagulitsa mu chitukuko kuti zitheke kutha pa nthawi yake.
Iye adanena kuti mitengo ikukwera, koma msika wa nyumba ndi wamphamvu moti makasitomala ali okonzeka kulipira.
O’Connor anati: “Izi zikutanthauza kuti tikagulitsa maere onse, tikhoza kugulitsa magawo 6 mpaka 8 pamlungu.” Pangani pa nthawi yoyenera. Sitikufuna kugulitsa nyumba zambiri zomwe sitingathe kuziyambitsa.
Malinga ndi deta yochokera ku US Bureau of Labor Statistics, akatswiri ogulitsa malonda adanena kuti chifukwa cha kuchepa kwa mitengo yamatabwa, kutsika kwa mitengo yazinthu zina kudzakhala kwakanthawi. Kuyambira Meyi, mitengo yamatabwa yatsika ndi 49%.
Koma sizinakwaniritsidwebe.Das adanena kuti opanga sakufuna kuonjezera kupanga, ndipo adzakhala ndi vuto lochulukirapo pamene ntchitoyo idzathetsa mavuto.
"Sikuti (kuwonjezeka kwamitengo) kumakhala kosatha, koma zingatenge nthawi kuti mulowe theka loyamba la chaka chamawa," adatero.
A Michael DeBlasio adati adaphunzirapo phunziro lake kumayambiriro kwa mliriwu, pomwe atenga kukwera kwamitengo. Ndiye adayamba kuphatikiza "chigamulo cha mliri" mu mgwirizano wake, zomwe zimakumbutsanso zowonjeza zamafuta zomwe makampani onyamula mafuta azikwera mitengo yamafuta ikakwera.
Ngati mtengo ukukwera kwambiri polojekiti itayamba, ndimeyi imamulola kuti apereke mtengo wapamwamba kwa kasitomala.
"Ayi, palibe chomwe chikuyenda bwino," adatero De Blasio sabata ino.
Michael L. Diamond is a business reporter who has been writing articles about the economy and healthcare industry in New Jersey for more than 20 years.You can contact him at mdiamond@gannettnj.com.
Nthawi yotumiza: Jan-07-2022